EPISTEMIC TELEMETRY · RECURSIVE CALIBRATION

Epistemic Insights

Empirical Brier metrics & calibration drift against realized outcomes.

Live Graph Sync: Ready

Brier:—

Lower is better. 0 = perfect, 0.25 = random binary.

Need 30 more reviewed decisions for a confident score. You’re at 0.

Calibration plotPredicted confidence on the x-axis versus observed frequency on the y-axis. A perfect calibrator's dots lie on the dashed diagonal. Larger dots represent more decisions.perfect020406080100Predicted %020406080100Observed %
Calibration bins
Predicted rangeDecisionsHappenedObserved frequency
0-10%00—
10-20%00—
20-30%00—
30-40%00—
40-50%00—
50-60%00—
60-70%00—
70-80%00—
80-90%00—
90-100%00—
Show table
Calibration bins
Predicted rangeDecisionsHappenedObserved
0-10%00—
10-20%00—
20-30%00—
30-40%00—
40-50%00—
50-60%00—
60-70%00—
70-80%00—
80-90%00—
90-100%00—